Since the holidays are on the verge and gathering people is somewhat impossible, the next fear is: "What will happen next?"
Will the number of infected increase after Christmas and New Year? Invited this morning on Abc News, was the epidemiologist Ilir Alimehmeti, who said that the immunity of the herd can be achieved to 60-65%.
Also asked how much impact the recent protests have had on the increase in Covid-19 cases, he said there are not enough tests to understand the progress.
"The immunity of the herd is something inevitable, every day other people are infected who are added to the basket of the infected and it is a step further close to it. This is the natural way and with a simple calculation it is assumed that this immunity is reached somewhere around 60-65 percent which means that we are not that far away, we are now quite close, but we remember that we have winter ahead. On the other hand, making another calculation, this percentage is not distributed homogeneously, it is not the same in all of Tirana and Albania, as there are some areas where this percentage is much higher, while there are others where it is less. "
The fear of another wave after the holidays is one that everyone is afraid of, but how likely is it to happen? Epidemiologist Alimehmeti explained this by comparing our situation with that in Italy.
"Italy has an element that all regions have a coefficient of R below 1. All regions are in decline and this makes it possible to return another wave tomorrow. It is not happening in our country, we are constantly increasing. It is continuing the wave that started in june, the drop in paving is not very significant, i see it as a fraction and trajectory.It's a very small number coming for other reasons.Then the drop of 10 or 20 out of 500 is not a very high percentage important enough to make a difference. "
